GBPUSD on Friday dropped -0.60% to 1.19392. Week ending 2023-02-24 moved lower by -0.83%. Pair in consolidation. What you need to know.



Week Ending 2023-02-24
Open High Low Close
1.20242 1.21476 1.19270 1.19392
Performance
Period Pct Chg Momentum
Friday -0.60% -71.8 Pips
Week 2023-02-24 -0.83% -100.3 Pips
February -3.09% -380.7 Pips

Next week key events (London Time)

Mon 01:30 PM USD Durable Goods Orders
Mon 01:30 PM USD Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft
Wed 10:00 AM GBP BoE’s Governor Bailey speech
Wed 03:00 PM USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
Fri 03:00 PM USD ISM Services PMI

What happened over the week

๐Ÿ“† ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation in February unchanged at 2.9% compared to previous report in January. The actual figure is also in lineย with the forecast. Source
๐Ÿ“† ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February exceed forecast and rose to 67 points compared to previous figure 66.4 points in January. Source
USD Personal Spending in January rose to 1.8% compared to previous figure -0.1% (revised from -0.2%). Source
๐Ÿ“† ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP GfK Consumer Confidence in February below forecast and improved to -38 points compared to previous figure -45 points in January. Source
๐Ÿ“† ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ) in Q4 preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 4.3% compared to previous figure 3.9% in Q3. Source
๐Ÿ“† โ˜ข๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD Gross Domestic Product Annualized in Q4 preliminary estimate below forecast and dropped to 2.7% compared to previous figure 2.9% in Q3. Source
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ“† USD In the week ending 18 February, the Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 192K compared to previous figure 195K (revised from 194K). Source
๐Ÿ“† ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index in January exceed forecast and rose to 0.23 points compared to previous figure -0.46, revised from -0.49 points in December. Source
๐Ÿ“† ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD S&P Global Composite PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 50.2 points compared to previous figure 46.8 points in January. Source
๐Ÿ“† ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD S&P Global Services PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 50.5 points compared to previous figure 46.8 points in January. Source
๐Ÿ“† โ˜ข๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 53.3 points compared to previous figure 48.7 points in January. Source


What can we expect from GBPUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?

GBPUSD on Friday dropped -0.60% to 1.19392. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling. For the week ending 2023-02-24, the pair dropped -0.83% or -100.3 pips lower.

Looking ahead on Monday after previous session, GBPUSD looks bearish as the pair posted lower in Friday trading session.

For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of last week high of 1.21476 or at least trades above Weekly Pivot level of 1.20046. On the downside, we are looking at last week low 1.19270 or 1.18616 (WS1) as immediate support level. GBPUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A close below last week low of 1.19270 would indicate selling pressure.

For the month of February, GBPUSD is down by -3.09% or -380.7 pips lower.

Weekly key levels to watch out:

R3 1.23028
R2 1.22252
R1 1.20822
Weekly Pivot 1.20046
S1 1.18616
S2 1.17840
S3 1.16410

You might also be interested in:

Index Suggests Economic Growth Picked Up in January Source: Chicago Fed
Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2022 (Second Estimate) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 31โ€“February 1, 2023 Source: Federal Reserve

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