Week Ending 2023-02-24 | |||
Open | High | Low | Close |
0.92563 | 0.94123 | 0.92150 | 0.94089 |
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | 0.74% | 69 Pips | |||
Week 2023-02-24 | 1.83% | 168.7 Pips | |||
February | 2.72% | 249.3 Pips |
Next week key events (London Time)
Mon 01:30 PM USD Durable Goods Orders
Mon 01:30 PM USD Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft
Tue 08:00 AM CHF Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)
Wed 03:00 PM USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
Fri 03:00 PM USD ISM Services PMI
What happened over the week
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation in February unchanged at 2.9% compared to previous report in January. The actual figure is also in lineย with the forecast. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February exceed forecast and rose to 67 points compared to previous figure 66.4 points in January. Source
USD Personal Spending in January rose to 1.8% compared to previous figure -0.1% (revised from -0.2%). Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ) in Q4 preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 4.3% compared to previous figure 3.9% in Q3. Source
๐ โข๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ USD Gross Domestic Product Annualized in Q4 preliminary estimate below forecast and dropped to 2.7% compared to previous figure 2.9% in Q3. Source
๐บ๐ธ ๐ USD In the week ending 18 February, the Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 192K compared to previous figure 195K (revised from 194K). Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index in January exceed forecast and rose to 0.23 points compared to previous figure -0.46, revised from -0.49 points in December. Source
๐ ๐จ๐ญ CHF ZEW Survey โ Expectations in February below forecast and improved to -12.3 points compared to previous figure -40 points in January. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD S&P Global Composite PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 50.2 points compared to previous figure 46.8 points in January. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD S&P Global Services PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 50.5 points compared to previous figure 46.8 points in January. Source
What can we expect from USDCHF for the new week and what happened on Friday?
USDCHF on Friday rose 0.74% to 0.94089. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising but in overbought zone. For the week ending 2023-02-24, the pair rose 1.83% or 168.7 pips higher.
Looking ahead on Monday after previous session, USDCHF looks bullish as the pair ended higher after Friday trading session.
Our weekly USDCHF technical outlook looks bullish, immediate upside resistance level at 0.94758 (WR1) with break above could target 0.95427 (WR2). On the downside, we are looking at last week low of 0.92150 as an important support. Break below this level could weaken the current bullish momentum. A break above 0.94123 would suggest bullish bias after recent positive movement.
For the month of February, USDCHF is up by 2.72% or 249.3 pips higher.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 0.96731 |
R2 | 0.95427 |
R1 | 0.94758 |
Weekly Pivot | 0.93454 |
S1 | 0.92785 |
S2 | 0.91481 |
S3 | 0.90812 |
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Index Suggests Economic Growth Picked Up in January Source: Chicago Fed
Positive employment situation sustained across Switzerland in 4th quarter 2022 Source: Federal Statistical Office
Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2022 (Second Estimate) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 31โFebruary 1, 2023 Source: Federal Reserve
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