Week Ending 2023-02-24 | |||
Open | High | Low | Close |
1.20242 | 1.21476 | 1.19270 | 1.19392 |
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | -0.60% | -71.8 Pips | |||
Week 2023-02-24 | -0.83% | -100.3 Pips | |||
February | -3.09% | -380.7 Pips |
Next week key events (London Time)
Mon 01:30 PM USD Durable Goods Orders
Mon 01:30 PM USD Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft
Wed 10:00 AM GBP BoE’s Governor Bailey speech
Wed 03:00 PM USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
Fri 03:00 PM USD ISM Services PMI
What happened over the week
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation in February unchanged at 2.9% compared to previous report in January. The actual figure is also in lineย with the forecast. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February exceed forecast and rose to 67 points compared to previous figure 66.4 points in January. Source
USD Personal Spending in January rose to 1.8% compared to previous figure -0.1% (revised from -0.2%). Source
๐ ๐ฌ๐ง GBP GfK Consumer Confidence in February below forecast and improved to -38 points compared to previous figure -45 points in January. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ) in Q4 preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 4.3% compared to previous figure 3.9% in Q3. Source
๐ โข๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ USD Gross Domestic Product Annualized in Q4 preliminary estimate below forecast and dropped to 2.7% compared to previous figure 2.9% in Q3. Source
๐บ๐ธ ๐ USD In the week ending 18 February, the Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 192K compared to previous figure 195K (revised from 194K). Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index in January exceed forecast and rose to 0.23 points compared to previous figure -0.46, revised from -0.49 points in December. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD S&P Global Composite PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 50.2 points compared to previous figure 46.8 points in January. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD S&P Global Services PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 50.5 points compared to previous figure 46.8 points in January. Source
๐ โข๏ธ ๐ฌ๐ง GBP S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI in February preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 53.3 points compared to previous figure 48.7 points in January. Source
What can we expect from GBPUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
GBPUSD on Friday dropped -0.60% to 1.19392. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling. For the week ending 2023-02-24, the pair dropped -0.83% or -100.3 pips lower.
Looking ahead on Monday after previous session, GBPUSD looks bearish as the pair posted lower in Friday trading session.
For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of last week high of 1.21476 or at least trades above Weekly Pivot level of 1.20046. On the downside, we are looking at last week low 1.19270 or 1.18616 (WS1) as immediate support level. GBPUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A close below last week low of 1.19270 would indicate selling pressure.
For the month of February, GBPUSD is down by -3.09% or -380.7 pips lower.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 1.23028 |
R2 | 1.22252 |
R1 | 1.20822 |
Weekly Pivot | 1.20046 |
S1 | 1.18616 |
S2 | 1.17840 |
S3 | 1.16410 |
You might also be interested in:
Index Suggests Economic Growth Picked Up in January Source: Chicago Fed
Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2022 (Second Estimate) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 31โFebruary 1, 2023 Source: Federal Reserve
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